Analyzed Outlook: Potential Developments in Direxion’s NVDU and NVDD Funds Centered on NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) and Alibaba Group Holding (NYSE:BABA)

By: Alex Freidmen

NVIDIA’s Recent Setback

Amidst the rush of tech headlines, NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) has endured a bumpy ride, witnessing a recent dip in shares compared to its usual stellar performance. As NVDA stock reflects an 8% drop in the last month, the company’s quarter-to-quarter revenue expansion has tapered off from 22% to 15%.

Despite these hiccups, a silver lining appears in Nvidia’s collaboration with Alibaba Group Holding’s cloud services unit, propelling advancements in autonomous driving for Chinese automotive firms. The burgeoning global automotive AI market valued at $2.99 billion in 2022 paints a promising picture.

Options Market and Volatility Forecast

While NVDA’s momentum appears to have slowed, the options market has priced in this slowdown, with current implied volatility standing at 44.56%, notably lower than historical volatility at 59.03%. This projection indicates subdued price fluctuation expectations, shedding light on discounted options premiums.

This scenario could potentially foster increased trading in NVDA options, hence elevating demand for derivative products such as leveraged ETFs.

The Direxion ETFs

Direxion, a prominent financial products provider renowned for its leveraged ETFs, features the Direxion Daily NVDA Bull 2X Shares (NVDU) and Direxion Daily NVDA Bear 1X Shares (NVDD). NVDU targets 200% of daily Nvidia stock performance, while NVDD aims for 100% inverse NVDA movements.

Investors diving into these ETFs should note their short-term nature, designed for daily exposure to avoid volatility drag.

Insights on NVDU ETF

The NVDU ETF boasts remarkable gains exceeding 220% since the year’s commencement, although its recent momentum has tapered off to a 21.5% rise in the past six months. Potential bullish patterns and moving averages hint at intriguing prospects for NVDU enthusiasts.

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NVDD ETF Evaluation

Contrarily, the NVDD ETF has faced challenges, witnessing a 66% decline since January. However, a recent uptick of over 6% in a month presents a flicker of hope for this inverse fund. NVDD struggles below key moving averages, setting the stage for potential bearish maneuvers.

A visual analysis of horizontal support levels and market patterns further enriches the narrative, potentially guiding investor sentiments and decisions.

Photo by Jordan Harrison from Pexels.

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